Will Russia capture Zaliznychne by February 28?

Will Russia capture Zaliznychne by February 28?

Liquidity

Unavailable

Deadline · UTC

Feb 28, 2026

Yes bid / ask

99.9¢ / 100.0¢

Trading fees

Not flagged by provider

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the Zaliznychne railroad station located at 47.64802917028457° N, 36.165842995748726° E, Zaporizhzhia Oblast, between market creation and the specified date ET. The railroad station will be considered captured if any part of the train station icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date ET, the market will resolve to “No”. For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify. If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established. Once Russia captures the railroad station, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market. Train Station Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ZA1.png Train Station Location in Zaliznychne: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ZA2.png Zaliznychne Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ZA3.png Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/cAPc3VAMWYGhvun7A The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.