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Will RFK Jr. place second in any state?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$451.5K
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCNov 5, 2024
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
ClosedMarket odds0%
Will RFK Jr. place second in any state?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Nov 5, 2024
- Yes bid / ask
- — / 0.1¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Robert F. Kennedy Jr. wins the second most votes in any state in the 2024 US presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only statewide popular vote results will be considered. Washington D.C., territories and individual congressional district electors will not count towards the resolution of this market. This market will resolve based on the official certification of the election.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 2:18:38 PM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.