Loading your workspace…
All markets
Will pump.fun buybacks hit $500M by December 31?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Choose a market to analyze 1 open question · Evidence required
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$19K
Liquidity$53
Event end date · UTCJan 1, 2027
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
Accepting ordersMarket odds95.4%
Will pump.fun buybacks hit $500M by December 31?
Yes95.4%Polymarket estimate
No4.6%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- $50.3
- Deadline · UTC
- Jan 1, 2027
- Yes bid / ask
- 91.0¢ / 99.8¢
- Trading fees
- Enabled · verify on Polymarket
Get the Foretrace AI forecast
See a probability estimate with uncertainty, the evidence for and against it, and a conditional decision at the available price.
Fresh successful report: 1 credit. Valid shared report: free.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total Pump.fun buybacks are equal to or greater than $500M by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” The primary resolution source for this market will be the buyback tracker available at https://fees.pump.fun/, specifically “Total $PUMP Purchases (USD)”.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 2:54:29 PM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.