Loading your workspace…
All markets
Will more than 2.8 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day by November 16?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$98.6K
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCNov 16, 2025
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
ClosedMarket odds0%
Will more than 2.8 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day by November 16?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Nov 16, 2025
- Yes bid / ask
- — / 0.1¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the TSA reports a daily checkpoint throughput of more than 2,800,000 for any day between November 8, 2025 and November 16, 2025 (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may not resolve to "No" until data for November 16, 2025 is available. This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the date of November 16, 2025 or on any date before that if the target number is reached within the market timeframe. If the target number has not been reached and if data is not available for any of the days from November 8, 2025 and November 16, 2025 by November 23, 2025 the market will resolve based on the published data up to that point. Any revisions published to data for dates November 8, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for November 16, 2025 will be considered. The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughput as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.