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How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes” if Mikie Sherrill wins the popular vote in the New Jersey Governor Democratic Primary by 15.0% or more when compared with the second place candidate. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of resolving this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by Mikie Sherrill and the second-place candidate. Percentages of the votes received will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each candidate receives by the sum of all votes cast in the New Jersey Governor Democratic Primary. This market will resolve based off the official vote count once certified. If a recount is initiated before certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is certified. If a recount occurs after certification, the recount will not be considered.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 9:20:19 PM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.