
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksOn January 2 Maersk announced it would pause shipping through the Red Sea until further notice after another one of its vessels was attacked. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Maersk announces by January 15, 2024 ET that they will resume shipping through the Red Sea. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Note that an announcement before the resolution date that Maersk will resume shipping through the Red Sea will suffice to resolve this market to “Yes” regardless of when or if their shipping resumes. The primary resolution source will be official information from Maersk, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 1:59:42 PM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.