
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
See a probability estimate with uncertainty, the evidence for and against it, and a conditional decision at the available price.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jon Jones officially participates in a professional fight (MMA, boxing, or any other combat sport) promoted by an organization other than the UFC by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Announcements of a fight, contract signings, or requests for release will not qualify toward this market's resolution. Exhibition bouts of any kind will not count. Only instances where Jones officially participates in a professional sanctioned bout that takes place by the deadline will count toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant promotion and athletic commission; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 2:12:02 PM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.