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Will Israel halt Rafah operation in May?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$21.3K
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCMay 31, 2024
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
ClosedMarket odds0%
Will Israel halt Rafah operation in May?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- May 31, 2024
- Yes bid / ask
- 0.0¢ / 100.0¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
On May 24, 2024, the ICJ ordered Israel to halt its military assault on the city of Rafah, in the Gaza strip. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel announces that they are halting offensive ground operations in Rafah by May 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by Israel that they are halting offensive ground operations will suffice for a “Yes” resolution even if the operation continues in practice.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 6:28:19 PM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.