Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?

Foretrace AI research

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Choose a market to analyze 1 open question · Evidence required

24h volume$49.8

Total volume$49.4K

Liquidity$19.9K

Event end date · UTCJan 1, 2027

Price history

Market probability

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Polymarket · UTC

Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.

Outcomes & resolution rules

1 market

These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.

Accepting ordersMarket odds4%

Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?

Yes4%Polymarket estimate

No96.1%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: $19.7K
Deadline · UTC: Jan 1, 2027
Yes bid / ask: 3.8¢ / 4.1¢
Trading fees: Enabled · verify on Polymarket

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Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Greenland holds an independence referendum and a majority of voters in the referendum vote for independence by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A referendum to join a country other than Denmark will be considered to be a referendum for independence. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Greenland and/or Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Retrieved 10/4/2026, 6:25:53 PM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.