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Will Elon Musk speak at the RNC today?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$116.2K
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCJul 18, 2024
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
ClosedMarket odds0%
Will Elon Musk speak at the RNC today?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Jul 18, 2024
- Yes bid / ask
- 0.0¢ / 100.0¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
The 2024 Republican National Convention is scheduled for July 15-18, 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk is a speaker at the Republican National Convention. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Elon Musk will be considered a "speaker" if he publicly gives a speech to an RNC crowd on-stage at the convention. Simply appearing on-stage at the convention will not count for a "Yes" resolution, he must actually give a speech.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 12:30:08 PM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.