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How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk publicly refers to Donald Trump as a "pedophile" between July 7, 2025, 6:00 PM ET and July 11, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Comments that merely insinuate or imply that Trump is a pedophile—without explicitly using the term—will not qualify. For example, the post at https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1942132189229162960 would not qualify. Musk must use the word "pedophile" or a direct variant such as "pedo" or "pedophilic" in reference to Donald Trump. A direct reference will qualify even if Trump is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear he is the subject. Describing Trump as a pedophile without using one of the qualifying terms will not count. Statements such as “I would not refer to Trump as a pedophile” or “I have never called Trump a pedophile” will not qualify, as they do not constitute a direct usage of the qualifying terms in reference to Trump. Any written or verbal usage will qualify. The resolution source will be public statements from Elon Musk.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 5:27:02 PM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.