
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research workshis market will resolve to "Yes" if the government of El Salvador or Nayib Bukele is directly involved in the deployment of a memecoin between February 14, 6:00 PM ET and March 31, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Only tokens which are confirmed to have been launched by the government of El Salvador or Nayib Bukele with consent or authorization will qualify. Tokens which are announced through hacked accounts or which otherwise do not meet this criteria will not qualify. Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC), officially recognized stablecoins, or other cryptocurrencies which are not widely considered to be memecoins will not qualify. Central African Republic's President Faustin-Archange Touadéra's announcement of $CAR is an example of a qualifying memecoin.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 12:46:13 PM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.