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Will Egypt open its border for Palestinian refugees by Nov 1?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
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24h volume$0
Total volume$58.3K
Liquidity$0
Event end date · UTCNov 1, 2023
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
ClosedMarket odds100%
Will Egypt open its border for Palestinian refugees by Nov 1?
Yes100%Polymarket estimate
No0%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- $0
- Deadline · UTC
- Nov 1, 2023
- Yes bid / ask
- 0.0¢ / 100.0¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Egypt opens its border with Gaza for Palestinian refugees by November 1, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The "Yes" criterion includes the opening of the Rafah border crossing for refugees, the creation of a humanitarian corridor, or any other mechanism that intends to allow the passage of Palestinian refugees directly into Egypt. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Egyptian government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 6:25:43 PM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.