
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksOn September 16, P Diddy was arrested after being indicted by a grand jury (see https://www.nytimes.com/2024/09/16/arts/music/sean-combs-diddy-indicted.html?smid=tw-nytimes&smtyp=cur). This market will resolve to "Yes" if P Diddy pleads guilty to all charges at his arraignment. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve based on his first pleas at the arraignment - subsequent pleas will not be considered. If the arraignment has not occurred by May 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 2:56:18 PM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.