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Will Courtney Najera lose CA-30 primary?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volume$0
Total volume$500
Liquidity$0
Event end date · UTCMar 5, 2024
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
ClosedMarket odds100%
Will Courtney Najera lose CA-30 primary?
Yes100%Polymarket estimate
No0%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- $0
- Deadline · UTC
- Mar 5, 2024
- Yes bid / ask
- 0.0¢ / 100.0¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
The CA House Primary is scheduled for March 5, 2024, in which the two highest-placing candidates advance to the general election, regardless of party affiliation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Courtney Najera fails to move onto the CA-30 general election from the primary. If she advances to the CA-30 general election from the primary, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from California, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 3:09:47 PM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.