Will Conservatives flip Liberals in the polls before the election?

Foretrace AI research

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24h volumeUnavailable

Total volume$500.7K

LiquidityUnavailable

Event end date · UTCApr 27, 2025

Price history

Market probability

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Polymarket · UTC

Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.

Outcomes & resolution rules

1 market

These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.

ClosedMarket odds0%

Will Conservatives flip Liberals in the polls before the election?

Yes0%Polymarket estimate

No100%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: Unavailable
Deadline · UTC: Apr 27, 2025
Yes bid / ask: — / 0.1¢
Trading fees: Not flagged by provider

Closed market · historical data

This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.

How research works

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Conservative Party has a greater polling average than the Liberal Party on any date between March 25, and April 27, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the CBCNews Poll Tracker, https://newsinteractives.cbc.ca/elections/poll-tracker/canada, specifically the numbers indicated by the blue and red trend lines located on the line graph. The polling average will be considered finalized once the next data point is available. If data for April 27 is not published by April 30, 12:00 PM noon, the market will resolve according to all previously published data points. Changes in the methodology by which CBCNews calculates its figures will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If CBCNews polling becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “No”. Note: Ties will not qualify as a flip. The aggregator must show the Conservative Party with a greater polling average than the Liberal Party.