
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if it is announced that Deribit will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with Coinbase in a deal valued at $5 billion or more by July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." An announcement by Deribit or Coinbase will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition or merger is ultimately completed, as long as the deal value is stated or credibly reported to be $5B or more. The deal value may include stock, cash, or a combination. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Deribit or Coinbase however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 3:40:58 PM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.