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Will any arrests be made related to Mystery Drones?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$27K
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCDec 31, 2024
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
ClosedMarket odds0%
Will any arrests be made related to Mystery Drones?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Dec 31, 2024
- Yes bid / ask
- — / 0.1¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any individual is arrested in connection with the "mystery drone" clusters sighted in the U.S. Northeast by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No" Arrest for trespassing will not qualify. Only arrests directly stemming from the operation of drones will count. Arrests relating to incidents outside of Virginia, Maryland, Delaware, Washington, D.C., New Jersey, New York, Connecticut, Rhode Island, Pennsylvania, and Massachusetts will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official information from relevant law enforcement agencies. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.