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Will Abdullah Öcalan be freed before April?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$17.3K
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCMar 31, 2025
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
ClosedMarket odds0%
Will Abdullah Öcalan be freed before April?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Mar 31, 2025
- Yes bid / ask
- — / 0.3¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Abdullah Öcalan is released from custody by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Öcalan is released from custody by the resolution date but remains under house arrest, the market will immediately resolve to "Yes". If Öcalan is released on bond, this will count as being released from custody and the market will resolve to "Yes". Transporting Öcalan to another location of custody will NOT suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from relevant government bodies, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.