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Will a turkey audibly gobble during the Thanksgiving Turkey Pardon on Tuesday?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$8.7K
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCNov 25, 2025
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
ClosedMarket odds100%
Will a turkey audibly gobble during the Thanksgiving Turkey Pardon on Tuesday?
Yes100%Polymarket estimate
No0%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Nov 25, 2025
- Yes bid / ask
- 99.9¢ / 100.0¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in a Thanksgiving Turkey Pardon Ceremony event on November 25, 2025 at 2PM ET (https://www.forth.news/whpool/CVMX5t6ekZQcMp9QA8xQP). This market will resolve to "Yes" if a turkey audibly gobbles during the Thanksgiving Turkey Pardon Ceremony in a way that is clearly captured on event livestreams or official recordings. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of this scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. The resolution source will be official event livestreams and recordings.