
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if a #1 seed loses a game in the 2025 NCAA March Madness Sweet 16. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If for any reason the Sweet 16 has not been determined by May 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA.
Resolution sourceRetrieved 10/4/2026, 8:31:54 PM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.