Will 3rd parties cost Kamala Michigan?

Foretrace AI research

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24h volumeUnavailable

Total volume$73.5K

LiquidityUnavailable

Event end date · UTCNov 5, 2024

Price history

Market probability

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Polymarket · UTC

Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.

Outcomes & resolution rules

1 market

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ClosedMarket odds100%

Will 3rd parties cost Kamala Michigan?

Yes100%Polymarket estimate

No0%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: Unavailable
Deadline · UTC: Nov 5, 2024
Yes bid / ask: 99.9¢ / 100.0¢
Trading fees: Not flagged by provider

Closed market · historical data

This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.

How research works

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris loses the the popular vote in Michigan in the 2024 US presidential election by less votes then the sum of all third party and write in votes. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the total number of votes in the 2024 U.S. Presidential election in Michigan according to uselectionatlas.org once their dataset includes the certified vote total. If a recount is initiated before certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is certified. If a recount occurs after uselectionatlas.org has published vote totals based on the final certification, the recount will not be considered. If there are no outstanding recounts, and electionatlas.org has not published total vote numbers based on the Michigan certified results by December 17, 2024, 12:00 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the total vote numbers from the United States Elections Project (electproject.org). If the United States Elections Project has not published certified vote totals, another credible resolution source will be chosen.