
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Barack Obama announces that he formally endorses Kamala Harris as Democratic Nominee for President of the United States before the Democratic Party officially nominates its candidate for the 2024 presidential election. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". If Obama endorses another candidate for Democratic Nominee, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Barack Obama or one of his representatives.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksOn July 21, Joe Biden announced he was dropping out of the presidential race, and endorsed Kamala Harris for Democratic Nominee. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announces that she formally endorses Kamala Harris as Democratic Nominee for President of the United States before the Democratic Party officially nominates its candidate for the 2024 presidential election. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". If AOC endorses another candidate for Democratic Nominee, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from AOC or one of their representatives.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksOn July 21, Joe Biden announced he was dropping out of the presidential race, and endorsed Kamala Harris for Democratic Nominee. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hakeem Jeffries announces that he formally endorses Kamala Harris as Democratic Nominee for President of the United States before the Democratic Party officially nominates its candidate for the 2024 presidential election. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". If Jeffries endorses another candidate for Democratic Nominee, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Jeffries or one of their representatives.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksOn July 21, Joe Biden announced he was dropping out of the presidential race, and endorsed Kamala Harris for Democratic Nominee. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chuck Schumer announces that he formally endorses Kamala Harris as Democratic Nominee for President of the United States before the Democratic Party officially nominates its candidate for the 2024 presidential election. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". If Schumer endorses another candidate for Democratic Nominee, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Schumer or one of their representatives.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksOn July 21, Joe Biden announced he was dropping out of the presidential race, and endorsed Kamala Harris for Democratic Nominee. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nancy Pelosi announces that she formally endorses Kamala Harris for President of the United States before the Democratic Party officially nominates its candidate for the 2024 presidential election. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". If Pelosi endorses another candidate for Democratic Nominee, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pelosi or one of their representatives.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Gavin Newsom announces that he formally endorses Kamala Harris as Democratic Nominee for President of the United States before the Democratic Party officially nominates its candidate for the 2024 presidential election. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". If Newsom endorses another candidate for Democratic Nominee, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Newsom or one of his representatives.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Gretchen Whitmer announces that she formally endorses Kamala Harris as Democratic Nominee for President of the United States before the Democratic Party officially nominates its candidate for the 2024 presidential election. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". If Gretchen Whitmer endorses another candidate for Democratic Nominee, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Gretchen Whitmer or one of her representatives.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Bernie Sanders announces that he formally endorses Kamala Harris as Democratic Nominee for President of the United States before the Democratic Party officially nominates its candidate for the 2024 presidential election. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". If Bernie Sanders endorses another candidate for Democratic Nominee, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Bernie Sanders or one of his representatives.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Michelle Obama announces that she formally endorses Kamala Harris as Democratic Nominee for President of the United States before the Democratic Party officially nominates its candidate for the 2024 presidential election. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". If Michelle Obama endorses another candidate for Democratic Nominee, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Michelle Obama or one of her representatives.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 12:59:21 PM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.