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Who will drop out of NYC Mayor race first?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$253.3K
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCNov 3, 2025
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
4 marketsThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
Curtis SliwaClosedMarket odds0%
Will Curtis Sliwa drop out first?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Nov 3, 2025
- Yes bid / ask
- — / 0.1¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
This market will resolve according to the first list candidate which withdraws from or officially announces their withdrawal from the 2025 New York City Mayoral election, or announces the suspension of his 2025 NYC Mayoral campaign, before November 3, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. If multiple candidates announce their withdrawal simultaneously this market will resolve to the candidate's whose last name comes first alphabetically. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed candidate or their official/legal representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.