
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Joe Biden nominates Sandra Thompson to become the next chairman of the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If Biden nominates another candidate this market will immediately resolve to “No”. If no candidate is nominated to become the next chairman of the FDIC by Dec 31, 2024 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from President Biden and the White House, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Joe Biden nominates Adrienne Harris to become the next chairman of the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If Biden nominates another candidate this market will immediately resolve to “No”. If no candidate is nominated to become the next chairman of the FDIC by Dec 31, 2024 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from President Biden and the White House, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Joe Biden nominates Graham Steele to become the next chairman of the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If Biden nominates another candidate this market will immediately resolve to “No”. If no candidate is nominated to become the next chairman of the FDIC by Dec 31, 2024 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from President Biden and the White House, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Joe Biden nominates Bharat Ramamurti to become the next chairman of the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If Biden nominates another candidate this market will immediately resolve to “No”. If no candidate is nominated to become the next chairman of the FDIC by Dec 31, 2024 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from President Biden and the White House, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Joe Biden nominates someone other than Sandra Thompson, Adrienne Harris, Graham Steele, or Bharat Ramamurti to become the next chairman of the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no candidate is nominated to become the next chairman of the FDIC by Dec 31, 2024 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from President Biden and the White House, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 1:02:37 PM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.