Who will be the next Pope?

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Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?

Yes0%Polymarket estimate

No100%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: Unavailable
Deadline · UTC: Dec 31, 2025
Yes bid / ask: — / 0.1¢
Trading fees: Not flagged by provider

Closed market · historical data

This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.

How research works

Resolution rules

Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?

Yes0%Polymarket estimate

No100%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: Unavailable
Deadline · UTC: Dec 31, 2025
Yes bid / ask: — / 0.1¢
Trading fees: Not flagged by provider

Closed market · historical data

This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.

How research works

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the name of the next person announced as the bishop of Rome after Pope Francis. If no new pope is announced by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No new Pope in 2025". The primary resolution source will be official information from the Vatican, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Will Peter Turkson be the next pope?

Yes0%Polymarket estimate

No100%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: Unavailable
Deadline · UTC: Dec 31, 2025
Yes bid / ask: — / 0.1¢
Trading fees: Not flagged by provider

Closed market · historical data

This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.

How research works

Who will be the next Pope?

Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.

Price history

Outcomes & resolution rules

Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?

Closed market · historical data

Resolution rules

Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?

Closed market · historical data

Resolution rules

Will Peter Turkson be the next pope?

Closed market · historical data

Resolution rules

Will Angelo Scola be the next pope?

Closed market · historical data

Resolution rules

Will Wim Eijk be the next pope?

Closed market · historical data

Resolution rules

Will Péter Erdő be the next pope?

Closed market · historical data

Resolution rules

Will Mario Grech be the next pope?

Closed market · historical data

Resolution rules

Will Raymond Burke be the next pope?

Closed market · historical data

Resolution rules

Will Fridolin Ambongo Besungu be the next pope?

Closed market · historical data

Resolution rules

Will Pierbattista Pizzaballa be the next pope?

Closed market · historical data

Resolution rules

Will Robert Sarah be the next pope?

Closed market · historical data

Resolution rules

Will Matteo Zuppi be the next pope?

Closed market · historical data

Resolution rules

Will no new pope be elected in 2025?

Closed market · historical data

Resolution rules

Will Baldassare Reina be the next pope?

Closed market · historical data

Resolution rules

Will Jean-Marc Aveline be the next pope?

Closed market · historical data

Resolution rules

Will Malcolm Ranjith be the next pope?

Closed market · historical data

Resolution rules

Will Jose Tolentino de Mendonca be the next pope?

Closed market · historical data

Resolution rules

Will Francis Arinze be the next pope?

Closed market · historical data

Resolution rules

Will Mark Ouellet be the next pope?

Closed market · historical data

Resolution rules

Will Charles Maung Bo be the next pope?

Closed market · historical data

Resolution rules

Will Robert Francis Prevost be the next pope?

Closed market · historical data

Resolution rules

Will Anders Arborelius be the next pope?

Closed market · historical data

Resolution rules

Will Kurt Koch be the next pope?

Closed market · historical data

Resolution rules

Will Fernando Filoni be the next pope?

Closed market · historical data

Resolution rules

Will Jean-Claude Hollerich be the next pope?

Closed market · historical data

Resolution rules

Will Person M be the next pope?