
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends the 97th Academy Awards, scheduled to take place on March 2, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Attending the event is defined as being physically present at either the official red carpet or inside the venue during the awards ceremony. Attendance at afterparties or other related events without being present at the red carpet or ceremony will not count. If the ceremony is canceled or postponed beyond March 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends the 97th Academy Awards, scheduled to take place on March 2, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Attending the event is defined as being physically present at either the official red carpet or inside the venue during the awards ceremony. Attendance at afterparties or other related events without being present at the red carpet or ceremony will not count. If the ceremony is canceled or postponed beyond March 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends the 97th Academy Awards, scheduled to take place on March 2, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Attending the event is defined as being physically present at either the official red carpet or inside the venue during the awards ceremony. Attendance at afterparties or other related events without being present at the red carpet or ceremony will not count. If the ceremony is canceled or postponed beyond March 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends the 97th Academy Awards, scheduled to take place on March 2, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Attending the event is defined as being physically present at either the official red carpet or inside the venue during the awards ceremony. Attendance at afterparties or other related events without being present at the red carpet or ceremony will not count. If the ceremony is canceled or postponed beyond March 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends the 97th Academy Awards, scheduled to take place on March 2, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Attending the event is defined as being physically present at either the official red carpet or inside the venue during the awards ceremony. Attendance at afterparties or other related events without being present at the red carpet or ceremony will not count. If the ceremony is canceled or postponed beyond March 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends the 97th Academy Awards, scheduled to take place on March 2, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Attending the event is defined as being physically present at either the official red carpet or inside the venue during the awards ceremony. Attendance at afterparties or other related events without being present at the red carpet or ceremony will not count. If the ceremony is canceled or postponed beyond March 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends the 97th Academy Awards, scheduled to take place on March 2, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Attending the event is defined as being physically present at either the official red carpet or inside the venue during the awards ceremony. Attendance at afterparties or other related events without being present at the red carpet or ceremony will not count. If the ceremony is canceled or postponed beyond March 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends the 97th Academy Awards, scheduled to take place on March 2, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Attending the event is defined as being physically present at either the official red carpet or inside the venue during the awards ceremony. Attendance at afterparties or other related events without being present at the red carpet or ceremony will not count. If the ceremony is canceled or postponed beyond March 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 12:41:17 PM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.