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Which turkey will Trump pardon?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
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View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$81.9K
Liquidity$0
Event end date · UTCNov 25, 2025
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
4 marketsThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
GobbleClosedMarket odds100%
Will Trump pardon Gobble?
Yes100%Polymarket estimate
No0%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Nov 25, 2025
- Yes bid / ask
- 99.9¢ / 100.0¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
The Office of the First Lady is holding a crowd vote to determine which turkey will receive a ceremonial pardon from President Trump during the 2025 White House Thanksgiving turkey pardon event, between the turkeys named Gobble and Waddle (see: https://x.com/firstladyoffice/status/1992977573341528201?s=61). This market will resolve according to the turkey which receives the ceremonial pardon from President Trump during the 2025 White House Thanksgiving turkey pardon event. If both Gobble and Waddle receive a ceremonial pardon from President Trump during the turkey pardon event, this market will resolve to "Both Turkeys." If neither Gobble nor Waddle receive a ceremonial pardon from President Trump during the turkey pardon event, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve based on the turkey which is pardoned during the 2025 White House Thanksgiving turkey pardon event, regardless of the ultimate fate of the turkeys involved. The primary resolution source for this market will be video of the 2025 White House Thanksgiving turkey pardon event.