
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksLegislative elections will be held in Austria on 29 September 2024 to elect the 28th National Council, the lower house of Austria's bicameral parliament. This market will resolve to "Yes" if ÖVP (Austrian People's Party, Österreichische Volkspartei) wins the most seats in the National Council as a result of the next Austrian legislative election. If voting in the next Austrian legislative election does not occur by December 31, 2024, this market will resolve to "No". In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by ÖVP, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Austrian Government, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksLegislative elections will be held in Austria on 29 September 2024 to elect the 28th National Council, the lower house of Austria's bicameral parliament. This market will resolve to "Yes" if SPÖ (Social Democratic Party of Austria, Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs) wins the most seats in the National Council as a result of the next Austrian legislative election. If voting in the next Austrian legislative election does not occur by December 31, 2024, this market will resolve to "No". In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by SPÖ, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Austrian Government, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksLegislative elections will be held in Austria on 29 September 2024 to elect the 28th National Council, the lower house of Austria's bicameral parliament. This market will resolve to "Yes" if FPÖ (Freedom Party of Austria, Freiheitliche Partei Österreich) wins the most seats in the National Council as a result of the next Austrian legislative election. If voting in the next Austrian legislative election does not occur by December 31, 2024, this market will resolve to "No". In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by FPÖ, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Austrian Government, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksLegislative elections will be held in Austria on 29 September 2024 to elect the 28th National Council, the lower house of Austria's bicameral parliament. This market will resolve to "Yes" if GRÜNE (The Greens, Die Grüne Alternative) wins the most seats in the National Council as a result of the next Austrian legislative election. If voting in the next Austrian legislative election does not occur by December 31, 2024, this market will resolve to "No". In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by GRÜNE, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Austrian Government, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksLegislative elections will be held in Austria on 29 September 2024 to elect the 28th National Council, the lower house of Austria's bicameral parliament. This market will resolve to "Yes" if NEOS (The New Austria and Liberal Forum, Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum) wins the most seats in the National Council as a result of the next Austrian legislative election. If voting in the next Austrian legislative election does not occur by December 31, 2024, this market will resolve to "No". In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by NEOS, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Austrian Government, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksLegislative elections will be held in Austria on 29 September 2024 to elect the 28th National Council, the lower house of Austria's bicameral parliament. This market will resolve to "Yes" if a party other than ÖVP, SPÖ, FPÖ, GRÜNE, or NEOS wins the most seats in the National Council as a result of the next Austrian legislative election. If voting in the next Austrian legislative election does not occur by December 31, 2024, this market will resolve to "Yes". In the case of a tie between a party and any other for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by each party, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Austrian Government, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 10:34:22 PM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.