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Which Parties will be part of next German Government?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$9.9M
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCJun 30, 2025
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
7 marketsThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
AfDClosedMarket odds0%
Will the AFD be part of the next German government?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Jun 30, 2025
- Yes bid / ask
- — / 0.1¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Alternative for Germany (AfD, Alternative für Deutschland) is a part of the first federal government formed after the 2025 German Parliamentary election scheduled to take place February 23. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no government is formed by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be the official announcements from the governing coalition, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.