
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve according to the country in which the next official diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place by February 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Official diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the US and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their government. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, meetings through a third-party relaying messages (not including translators), or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present and interacting with each other will not count. If the next official meetings between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Another Country”. If no qualifying meeting takes place by February 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Meeting by Feb 13”. If a qualifying meeting occurs in more than one country, resolution will be based on where the meeting begins. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve according to the country in which the next official diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place by February 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Official diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the US and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their government. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, meetings through a third-party relaying messages (not including translators), or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present and interacting with each other will not count. If the next official meetings between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Another Country”. If no qualifying meeting takes place by February 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Meeting by Feb 13”. If a qualifying meeting occurs in more than one country, resolution will be based on where the meeting begins. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve according to the country in which the next official diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place by February 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Official diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the US and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their government. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, meetings through a third-party relaying messages (not including translators), or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present and interacting with each other will not count. If the next official meetings between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Another Country”. If no qualifying meeting takes place by February 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Meeting by Feb 13”. If a qualifying meeting occurs in more than one country, resolution will be based on where the meeting begins. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve according to the country in which the next official diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place by February 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Official diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the US and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their government. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, meetings through a third-party relaying messages (not including translators), or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present and interacting with each other will not count. If the next official meetings between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Another Country”. If no qualifying meeting takes place by February 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Meeting by Feb 13”. If a qualifying meeting occurs in more than one country, resolution will be based on where the meeting begins. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve according to the country in which the next official diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place by February 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Official diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the US and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their government. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, meetings through a third-party relaying messages (not including translators), or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present and interacting with each other will not count. If the next official meetings between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Another Country”. If no qualifying meeting takes place by February 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Meeting by Feb 13”. If a qualifying meeting occurs in more than one country, resolution will be based on where the meeting begins. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve according to the country in which the next official diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place by February 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Official diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the US and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their government. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, meetings through a third-party relaying messages (not including translators), or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present and interacting with each other will not count. If the next official meetings between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Another Country”. If no qualifying meeting takes place by February 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Meeting by Feb 13”. If a qualifying meeting occurs in more than one country, resolution will be based on where the meeting begins. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve according to the country in which the next official diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place by February 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Official diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the US and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their government. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, meetings through a third-party relaying messages (not including translators), or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present and interacting with each other will not count. If the next official meetings between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Another Country”. If no qualifying meeting takes place by February 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Meeting by Feb 13”. If a qualifying meeting occurs in more than one country, resolution will be based on where the meeting begins. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve according to the country in which the next official diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place by February 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Official diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the US and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their government. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, meetings through a third-party relaying messages (not including translators), or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present and interacting with each other will not count. If the next official meetings between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Another Country”. If no qualifying meeting takes place by February 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Meeting by Feb 13”. If a qualifying meeting occurs in more than one country, resolution will be based on where the meeting begins. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 12:56:09 PM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.