
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to “Yes” if, by the specified date (ET), legislation providing full-year Fiscal Year 2026 discretionary appropriations for the Department of Homeland Security (including via a continuing resolution) has become law, meaning funding through September 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Qualifying legislation must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No". Joint resolutions enacted into law may qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Library of Congress (congress.gov); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to “Yes” if, by the specified date (ET), legislation providing full-year Fiscal Year 2026 discretionary appropriations for the Department of Homeland Security (including via a continuing resolution) has become law, meaning funding through September 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Qualifying legislation must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No". Joint resolutions enacted into law may qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Library of Congress (congress.gov); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to “Yes” if, by the specified date (ET), legislation providing full-year Fiscal Year 2026 discretionary appropriations for the Department of Homeland Security (including via a continuing resolution) has become law, meaning funding through September 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Qualifying legislation must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No". Joint resolutions enacted into law may qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Library of Congress (congress.gov); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 12:56:19 PM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.