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When will Democratic Nominee be chosen?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$671.5K
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCAug 22, 2024
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
4 marketsThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
Aug 7 or earlierClosedMarket odds100%
Democrats nominate Prez candidate by August 7?
Yes100%Polymarket estimate
No0%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Aug 7, 2024
- Yes bid / ask
- 99.9¢ / 100.0¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate is formally nominated by the Democratic National Committee as the Democratic presidential candidate between July 19, and August 7, 2024 11:59 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be official announcements from the Democratic National Committee however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used .