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What will Tim Walz say during his press conference on January 5?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
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24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$22.5K
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCJan 5, 2026
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
12 marketsThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
Somali / Somalia 5+ timesClosedMarket odds0%
Will Tim Walz say "Somali" or "Somalia" 5+ times during his press conference on January 5?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Jan 5, 2026
- Yes bid / ask
- — / 0.1¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
Tim Walz announced a news conference scheduled for January 5, 2026. (see: https://www.mprnews.org/story/2026/01/05/minnesota-gov-tim-walz-to-hold-news-conference-as-speculation-about-his-reelection-bid-swirls) This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tim Walz says the listed term during the conference on January 5, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). This market is explicitly about the press conference announced for January 5, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. AI-generated audio or video will not count towards the resolution of this market. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by January 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.