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What will the median home value in the US be on December 31?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Choose a market to analyze 7 open questions · Evidence required
24h volume$712.7
Total volume$1.5K
Liquidity$1.9K
Event end date · UTCJan 11, 2027
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
7 marketsThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
<$403KAccepting ordersMarket odds14.5%
Will the median home value in the US be less than $403,000 on December 31?
Yes14.5%Polymarket estimate
No85.5%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- $185.9
- Deadline · UTC
- Jan 11, 2027
- Yes bid / ask
- 2.0¢ / 27.0¢
- Trading fees
- Enabled · verify on Polymarket
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Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on December 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on December 31, 2026. If no data for December 31 is released by January 10, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/57)