
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
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This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksKamala Harris has scheduled a rally to be held on September 20 in Madison, Wisconsin. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Harris says "border" 3 or more times during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "border" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to belonging to a political boundary between nations. If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond September 20, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksKamala Harris has scheduled a rally to be held on September 20 in Madison, Wisconsin. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Harris says "Project 2025" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the phrase regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the phrase will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond September 20, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksKamala Harris has scheduled a rally to be held on September 20 in Madison, Wisconsin. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Harris says "abortion ban" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the phrase regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the phrase will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond September 20, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksKamala Harris has scheduled a rally to be held on September 20 in Madison, Wisconsin. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Harris says "convicted felon" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the phrase regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the phrase will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond September 20, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksKamala Harris has scheduled a rally to be held on September 20 in Madison, Wisconsin. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Harris says "Palestine" or "Palestinian" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "Palestine" or "Palestinian" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the territory in the Middle east or its associated people. If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond September 20, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksKamala Harris has scheduled a rally to be held on September 20 in Madison, Wisconsin. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Harris says "liar" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "liar" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a person who tells lies. If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond September 20, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksKamala Harris has scheduled a rally to be held on September 20 in Madison, Wisconsin. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Harris says "AI" or "artificial intelligence" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "AI" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the intelligence exhibited by machines. If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond September 20, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksKamala Harris has scheduled a rally to be held on September 20 in Madison, Wisconsin. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Harris says "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "crypto" or "Bitcoin" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to decentralized cryptocurrency (e.g. "cryptocurrency-related" counts). If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond September 20, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksKamala Harris has scheduled a rally to be held on September 20 in Madison, Wisconsin. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Harris says "JD" or "Vance" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "JD" or " Vance" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the person and candidate for the US vice presidency JD Vance. If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond September 20, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksKamala Harris has scheduled a rally to be held on September 20 in Madison, Wisconsin. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Harris says "McDonald's" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "McDonald's" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the global fast-food restaurant chain. If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond September 20, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksKamala Harris has scheduled a rally to be held on September 20 in Madison, Wisconsin. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Harris says "weird" or "weirdo" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "weird "or "weirdo" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a person who behaves unusually or oddly. If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond September 20, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksKamala Harris has scheduled a rally to be held on September 20 in Madison, Wisconsin. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Harris says "ceasefire" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "ceasefire" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a temporary suspension of armed conflict. If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond September 20, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
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