
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States government implements a travel ban against China at any point between December 3 and Dec 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a "travel ban" refers to a formal prohibition, restriction, or suspension issued by the US government on travel to China for non-US citizens, non-permanent residents, or all people, regardless of citizenship. The market will resolve early if an official travel ban against China has been announced and confirmed prior to the end of this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used .
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 5:37:46 PM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.