
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. federal government or its agencies (such as the FBI, DHS, or DoD) release any definitive statement confirming that any of the "mystery drone" clusters sighted in New Jersey or other parts of the U.S. Northeast are anything other than airplanes by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No" Any confirmation indicating that the drones are airplanes, helicopters, or normal civilian air traffic will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. federal government.
Retrieved 10/5/2026, 12:12:59 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.