
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the US president, US secretary of state or official statements from the White House officially call for Israel to establish a ceasefire between themselves and Hamas in Gaza between January 18, 2023 and February 29, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, calls for a humanitarian pause will not be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US president, US secretary of state, the White House, and/or their official representatives.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 4:25:29 PM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.