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Next UK prime minister?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$2.4M
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCJul 4, 2024
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
13 marketsThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
Rishi SunakClosedMarket odds0%
Will Rishi Sunak be next UK prime minister?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Jul 4, 2024
- Yes bid / ask
- 0.0¢ / 100.0¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Rishi Sunak is selected as the next prime minister of the United Kingdom following the general election set for July 4, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An interim/caretaker prime ministership will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next prime minister of the UK is instated by the end of 2024 this market will resolve also resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UK government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.