UFC Fight Night: Melissa Gatto vs. Ernesta Kareckaite (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)

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UFC Fight Night: Melissa Gatto vs. Ernesta Kareckaite (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)

Melissa Gatto55.5%Polymarket estimate

Ernesta Kareckaite44.5%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: $8.2K
Deadline · UTC: Oct 11, 2026
Melissa Gatto bid / ask: 55.0¢ / 56.0¢
Trading fees: Enabled · verify on Polymarket

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Resolution rules

Fight to Go the Distance?

Yes50%Polymarket estimate

No50%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: $7.6
Deadline · UTC: Oct 11, 2026
Yes bid / ask: 3.0¢ / 97.0¢
Trading fees: Enabled · verify on Polymarket

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See a probability estimate with uncertainty, the evidence for and against it, and a conditional decision at the available price.

Fresh successful report: 1 credit. Valid shared report: free.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Melissa Gatto and Ernesta Kareckaite at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan, scheduled for October 10, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Draws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve "Yes." Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 24, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Resolution source

Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?

Yes50%Polymarket estimate

No50%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: $28.1
Deadline · UTC: Oct 11, 2026
Yes bid / ask: 3.0¢ / 97.0¢
Trading fees: Enabled · verify on Polymarket

Get the Foretrace AI forecast

See a probability estimate with uncertainty, the evidence for and against it, and a conditional decision at the available price.

Fresh successful report: 1 credit. Valid shared report: free.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Melissa Gatto and Ernesta Kareckaite at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan, scheduled for October 10, 2026, ends by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 24, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Resolution source

UFC Fight Night: Melissa Gatto vs. Ernesta Kareckaite (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)

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Outcomes & resolution rules