
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
See a probability estimate with uncertainty, the evidence for and against it, and a conditional decision at the available price.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed host nation takes one of the two reserved host places at UEFA Euro 2028. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Under the qualification system approved by UEFA, England, Scotland, Wales and the Republic of Ireland enter qualifying as host nations, and two places at the final tournament are reserved for the two best-ranked host nations that do not qualify as a group winner or best runner-up at the conclusion of the qualifying group stage. A host nation that qualifies on merit as a group winner or best runner-up has not taken a reserved place, and the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If fewer than two host nations fail to qualify on merit, the unused reserved places are not awarded and the corresponding markets will resolve to "No". If UEFA Euro 2028 is cancelled, postponed after June 1, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, or the final tournament participants have not been officially confirmed by UEFA within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
See a probability estimate with uncertainty, the evidence for and against it, and a conditional decision at the available price.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed host nation takes one of the two reserved host places at UEFA Euro 2028. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Under the qualification system approved by UEFA, England, Scotland, Wales and the Republic of Ireland enter qualifying as host nations, and two places at the final tournament are reserved for the two best-ranked host nations that do not qualify as a group winner or best runner-up at the conclusion of the qualifying group stage. A host nation that qualifies on merit as a group winner or best runner-up has not taken a reserved place, and the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If fewer than two host nations fail to qualify on merit, the unused reserved places are not awarded and the corresponding markets will resolve to "No". If UEFA Euro 2028 is cancelled, postponed after June 1, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, or the final tournament participants have not been officially confirmed by UEFA within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
See a probability estimate with uncertainty, the evidence for and against it, and a conditional decision at the available price.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed host nation takes one of the two reserved host places at UEFA Euro 2028. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Under the qualification system approved by UEFA, England, Scotland, Wales and the Republic of Ireland enter qualifying as host nations, and two places at the final tournament are reserved for the two best-ranked host nations that do not qualify as a group winner or best runner-up at the conclusion of the qualifying group stage. A host nation that qualifies on merit as a group winner or best runner-up has not taken a reserved place, and the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If fewer than two host nations fail to qualify on merit, the unused reserved places are not awarded and the corresponding markets will resolve to "No". If UEFA Euro 2028 is cancelled, postponed after June 1, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, or the final tournament participants have not been officially confirmed by UEFA within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
See a probability estimate with uncertainty, the evidence for and against it, and a conditional decision at the available price.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed host nation takes one of the two reserved host places at UEFA Euro 2028. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Under the qualification system approved by UEFA, England, Scotland, Wales and the Republic of Ireland enter qualifying as host nations, and two places at the final tournament are reserved for the two best-ranked host nations that do not qualify as a group winner or best runner-up at the conclusion of the qualifying group stage. A host nation that qualifies on merit as a group winner or best runner-up has not taken a reserved place, and the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If fewer than two host nations fail to qualify on merit, the unused reserved places are not awarded and the corresponding markets will resolve to "No". If UEFA Euro 2028 is cancelled, postponed after June 1, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, or the final tournament participants have not been officially confirmed by UEFA within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 1:18:36 PM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.