
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksRep. Joe Wilson recently announced he's drafting legislation aimed at creating a $250 bill featuring Donald Trump's face. You can read more about that here: https://x.com/RepJoeWilson/status/1894492941919379575 This market will resolve to "Yes" if any bill is signed into law creating a $250 bill with Donald Trump's face on it by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Note that the listed provisions of a qualifying bill do not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 12:19:51 PM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.