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Trump sentenced to prison in NY case before election?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$711.5K
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCNov 5, 2024
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
ClosedMarket odds0%
Trump sentenced to prison in NY case before election?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Nov 5, 2024
- Yes bid / ask
- — / 0.2¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for convictions in the hush money case "The State of New York vs. Donald Trump". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no sentence is rendered before November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution will be based on the initial sentencing rendered in this case, regardless of any subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence. This market will resolve based on the first sentencing rendered in this case, regardless of later appeals, etc.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 12:43:00 PM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.