Trump positive favorability on April 1?

Foretrace AI research

Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.

Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.

View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.

24h volumeUnavailable

Total volume$104.9K

LiquidityUnavailable

Event end date · UTCApr 1, 2025

Price history

Market probability

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Polymarket · UTC

Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.

Outcomes & resolution rules

1 market

These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.

ClosedMarket odds0%

Trump positive favorability on April 1?

Yes0%Polymarket estimate

No100%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: Unavailable
Deadline · UTC: Apr 1, 2025
Yes bid / ask: — / 0.1¢
Trading fees: Not flagged by provider

Closed market · historical data

This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.

How research works

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s favorable rating according to RealClearPolitics is higher than his unfavorable rating on April 1, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Trump’s favorable rating must be higher than his unfavorable rating for a “Yes” resolution; ties will not qualify. The resolution source will be RealClearPolitics’ Favorability Ratings poll aggregator, https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/favorability/political-leaders, specifically the RCP average under the column labeled "Spread" checked at 12:00 PM ET (noon) on the resolution date. The listed value as of the check time will be used to resolve this market regardless of the listed date range. Changes in the methodology by which RealClearPolitics calculates the favorability rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Please note the resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.8%, -3.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.