Trump pays Jan 6 rioter?

Foretrace AI research

Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.

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24h volumeUnavailable

Total volume$4.2K

Liquidity$0

Event end date · UTCJul 31, 2026

Price history

Market probability

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Polymarket · UTC

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Outcomes & resolution rules

1 market

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ClosedMarket odds0%

Trump pays Jan 6 rioter?

Yes0%Polymarket estimate

No100%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: $0
Deadline · UTC: Jul 31, 2026
Yes bid / ask: — / 0.1¢
Trading fees: Enabled · verify on Polymarket

Closed market · historical data

This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.

How research works

Resolution rules

On May 18, 2026, the United States Department of Justice announced the creation of “The Anti-Weaponization Fund,” a program intended to compensate individuals or entities that were harmed by “weaponization of the criminal justice system” (see: https://www.justice.gov/opa/pr/justice-department-announces-anti-weaponization-fund). This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Department of Justice officially announces an Anti-Weaponization Fund payment to any individual in connection with damages, prosecution, detention, criminal charges or other legal proceedings related to the January 6, 2021 Capitol riot by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A consensus of credible reporting that such a payment has been made will also suffice for a “Yes” resolution. Issued apologies or other actions which do not include monetary payment will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the Department of Justice and a consensus of credible reporting.