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# Trump mentions at DNC day 4?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
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24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$17.4K
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCAug 22, 2024
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
6 marketsThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
<20ClosedMarket odds0%
Trump mentioned fewer than 20 times at the DNC on day 4?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Aug 22, 2024
- Yes bid / ask
- — / 0.2¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
This market refers to anything said in person on the main stage of the United Center on the fourth night of the DNC. Programming is currently scheduled to begin at 5:30 PM CT and end at 10:15 PM CT (see: https://demconvention.com/schedule/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if "Trump" is said fewer than 20 times on the fourth night of the DNC. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any live mention on the main stage which is audible on the stream of the event will count toward this market. Ads won't count - only in-person mentions count. Pluralization/possessive of "Trump" will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Note for example if "Donald is running for President" is said, it doesn't count as a mention - only "Trump" counts. Compound words will count as long as "Trump" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the person Donald Trump. The resolution source will be the video of the fourth night of the DNC.