Trump found guilty in hush money case?

Foretrace AI research

Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.

Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.

View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.

24h volumeUnavailable

Total volume$209.9K

LiquidityUnavailable

Event end date · UTCNov 5, 2024

Price history

Market probability

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Polymarket · UTC

Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.

Outcomes & resolution rules

1 market

These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.

ClosedMarket odds100%

Trump found guilty in hush money case?

Yes100%Polymarket estimate

No0%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: Unavailable
Deadline · UTC: Nov 5, 2024
Yes bid / ask: 0.0¢ / 100.0¢
Trading fees: Not flagged by provider

Closed market · historical data

This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.

How research works

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is found guilty of "falsifying business records in the first degree in violation of Penal Law §175.10” in the case of The People of the State of New York v. Donald J. Trump by November 5, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Donald Trump’s case is dismissed, or ends due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, this market will resolve to "No". If there is a mistrial, this market will stay open to consider further retrials - if by election day Trump has not yet been found guilty or has not entered a guilty plea, this market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve according to the initial judgment rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source will be an official judgment delivered by the ruling court; however, other credible reporting may be used.