Trump deploys National Guard in D.C. by August 31?

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24h volumeUnavailable

Total volume$24.5K

LiquidityUnavailable

Event end date · UTCAug 31, 2025

Price history

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Polymarket · UTC

Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.

Outcomes & resolution rules

1 market

These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.

ClosedMarket odds100%

Trump deploys National Guard in D.C. by August 31?

Yes100%Polymarket estimate

No0%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: Unavailable
Deadline · UTC: Aug 31, 2025
Yes bid / ask: 99.9¢ / 100.0¢
Trading fees: Not flagged by provider

Closed market · historical data

This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.

How research works

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump deploys any active duty National Guard troops into Washington, D.C., by August 31, 2025 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only the actual deployment of active duty National Guard personnel into Washington, D.C., will qualify; an announcement of a future deployment alone will not count. Both the active deployment of the D.C. National Guard and the deployment of out-of-state National Guard units into Washington, D.C., by President Trump will qualify, regardless of whether the troops are engaged in public-facing operations within the market's time frame. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.