
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill is signed into law by Donald Trump that reduces or removes US federal taxes of any kind or renews/extends expiring tax cuts between March 11 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 12:49:34 PM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.